Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.120681 1.266173 1.425333 1.612680 1.827569 2.066803 2.353953
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.908417 1.107117 1.343324 1.646186 2.026161 2.489639 3.101657
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.771407 0.987354 1.258342 1.625987 2.115762 2.751367 3.647754
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.687637 0.916073 1.215755 1.641818 2.238661 3.054902 4.272730
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.610667 0.841253 1.155264 1.619776 2.299031 3.270934 4.793923
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.552164 0.783539 1.109244 1.608464 2.367263 3.498452 5.352519
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.487196 0.709068 1.030392 1.538203 2.336407 3.569770 5.672930
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.457339 0.682543 1.018045 1.564762 2.453671 3.878021 6.407093
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.432473 0.660725 1.009876 1.595472 2.578535 4.209198 7.219116
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.406528 0.634560 0.991950 1.607540 2.672116 4.496001 7.987749
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.382552 0.609227 0.972664 1.614556 2.756258 4.773358 8.772434
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.364754 0.592288 0.965264 1.640331 2.874630 5.122535 9.736786
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.337408 0.557746 0.926347 1.608760 2.888858 5.287132 10.373324
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.324458 0.546708 0.926734 1.647710 3.038278 5.725300 11.631829
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.303304 0.519592 0.896500 1.626933 3.070398 5.936409 12.439255
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.289630 0.504584 0.886471 1.642831 3.175323 6.304594 13.642394
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.271821 0.480705 0.858262 1.620769 3.200817 6.510007 14.505539
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.256997 0.461206 0.836606 1.609450 3.246883 6.763637 15.518535
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.235980 0.428649 0.787825 1.539142 3.160684 6.717367 15.797019
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.228374 0.421024 0.786373 1.565718 3.286585 7.160829 17.365689
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.221720 0.414728 0.786960 1.596449 3.424659 7.648517 19.127674
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.213442 0.404648 0.779206 1.608525 3.521475 8.049946 20.726095
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.205189 0.394041 0.769569 1.615546 3.607113 8.434275 22.341706